Camila Vega
The fourth round of the Australian Open 2023 is already here and with it, we will see the battle of de Minaur vs Djokovic. This match will face the Serb, nine-time Grand Slam winner, and local favorite Alex de Minaur, who has performed well on several occasions and against whom he has never faced.
This will be an exciting match and from JefeBet we are going to analyze how each player’s results have been in the previous rounds, how they can do in this commitment and our prediction.
We also invite you to read our review of DraftKings, the odds provider for this preview.
Betting Preview for the Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic Men’s Singles Round 4 Match at the 2023 ATP Australian Open
- Where: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
- When: Monday, January 14, 2023, 12:30 PM E.T.
- Games Spread: de Minaur +5.5 (+125), +6.5 (-120) / Djokovic -5.5 (-150), -6.5 (+100).
- Total Games: Over 35.5 (-120), Under 35.5 (+100), Over 36.5 (-105), Under 36.5 (-115).
- Win at least one set: de Minaur Yes (-145), No (+100) / Djokovic Yes (-6000), No (+850)
Betting on Alex de Minaur | +320 Odds to Win
Alex de Minaur has made it to this round of the 2023 Australian Open by dropping just one set in his second match vs Mannarino. The rest of the matches have been won in straight sets. His most recent match was against Frenchman Benjamin Bonzi, which ended 7-6(0), 6-2, 6-1.
In this match against Bonzi he managed to serve a total of 8 aces with 4 double faults. What’s more, he had a 53% of good first serves with an effectiveness of 79% and, on the other hand, a 57% effectiveness with his second serve. Undoubtedly these are good numbers, however, a 53% of good first serves is low to face Novak Djokovic. The Australian de Minaur will have to raise these statistics considerably to prevent his service from being broken.
On the other hand, he threw a total of 33 winners with 21 unforced errors. He also won a total of 63% of points at the net and 50% of points receiving his opponent’s service. Additionally, he won important points from volleys, passing shots, overhead shots and approaching the net.
Betting on Novak Djokovic | -425 Odds to Win
On the other hand, Novak Djokovic has just taken on Bulgaria’s Grigor Dimitrov in straight sets by a score of 7-6(7), 6-3, 6-4 to advance to the fourth round of the 2023 Australian Open. In this match, which lasted 3 hours and 7 minutes, he had some impressive numbers that we will see below.
To begin with, he served 11 aces with only 2 double faults that helped him to have a 72% of good first serves with an effectiveness of 74%. His first serve had an average speed of 188 km/h and his second of 153 km/h, with which he won just 42% of the points. His number of winners was not as high, with 28, but he did get 42% of the break opportunities, which secured his victory.
Additionally, although Dimitrov was much better in numbers, Djokovic’s secret weapon is his agility, as he gets to every point and has an incredible ability to mentally destabilize his opponent. Thus, although he did not throw many winners and outplayed the Bulgarian in unforced errors, he won the match.
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JefeBet Prediction
Considering Djokovic’s performance in the tournament and how focused he is on winning, as well as his physical and mental capabilities, this Australian Open 2023 fourth round match between de Minaur vs Djokovic will be won by the Serb.
Prediction: Novak Djokovic wins in 4 sets.
