Barry Recks
Circle August 5 on your calendars because that’s the day that Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz is going to happen — a fight between two big personalities. Will Paul rebound from a loss and score a victory? Or will Diaz shock the world and give Paul his second career loss?
Read on for more about this Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz bout, including our predictions, picks, and the latest odds to win the fight, as brought to you by JefeBet. Also, don’t forget to check out the other MMA content here to help you make the best betting decisions.
Betting Preview for the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Boxing Fight on August 5, 2023
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- When: Wednesday, August 5, 2023
- Odds: Jake Paul (odds) vs Nate Diaz (odds)
All odds are provided by DraftKings.
Betting on Jake Paul (-370 on DraftKings)
- Odds: -370
- Fights: 7
- Victories: 6
- Victories by KO: 4
- Defeats: 1
- Draws: 0
Paul is coming off his first professional loss. In his last fight, he suffered a split decision defeat at the hands of Tommy Fury back in February. While that was a bitter result swallowed by Paul, he is still the huge favorite to win his upcoming fight against Diaz – and that’s also despite the fact that Diaz has the overwhelming advantage in combat experience.
But Paul also managed to get things done inside the ring against other MMA guys with a ton of fighting experience on him. He first proved he could hang well against legitimately experienced fighters when he scored a technical knockout against Ben Askren in 2021. He followed that up with back-to-back victories over former UFC champion Tyron Woodley. And speaking of experience, Paul has more of it inside the boxing ring than Diaz, who has zero pro boxing fights under his belt.
Betting on Nate Diaz (+265 on DraftKings)
- Odds: +265
- Fights: 35 (MMA)
- Victories: 22 (MMA)
- Victories by KO: 4 (MMA)
- Defeats: 13 (MMA)
- Draws: 0 (MMA)
Diaz has never been a big puncher. He won most of his MMA fights by way of submissions – 14 of them to be exact. He only has four wins via T/KO and two losses in the same manner. With grappling out of the picture, Diaz will have to resort purely to a skill he was not even a master of in the MMA world.
Nevertheless, the fact that he’s only suffered a couple of T/KO losses suggests that Diaz might have the chin to take on Paul’s punches. For what it’s worth, Diaz has a 52 percent success rate in defending against strikes in his UFC career. He’s also avoided getting knocked out in two fights against a powerful striker in Conor McGregor. After seeing Paul lose for the first time, Diaz will be facing a fighter who is in uncharted territory, at least from the mental perspective of fighting. Conversely, Diaz is a battle-hardened warrior who’s got a 9-4 record in fights after a loss.
El Jefe’s Prediction on Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz
This fight will be closer than most people think it would play out. But in the end, it’s going to be Paul coming out on top via a unanimous decision victory.
Prediction:
Jake Paul wins via UD.
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