Camila Vega
The lower part of the men’s singles draw for the quarter-finals of the 2023 Australian Open is defined, and we will see the much-awaited encounter between two renowned seeds in Rublev vs Djokovic. These two players have met on three different occasions during their careers, and the statistics favor the Serbian, Djokovic.
Straight away, JefeBet will take a close look at this match, see how they have fared in past matches and to the Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic predictions. Check them out!
We also invite you to read our review of DraftKings, the odds’ provider for this preview.
Betting Preview for the Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic Men’s Singles Quarter-Finals Match at the 2023 ATP Australian Open
- Where: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
- When: Tuesday, January 24, 2023, [time to be confirmed]
- Games Spread: Rublev +5.5 (+125), +6.5 (-120), +7.5 (-175)/Djokovic -5.5 (-160), -6.5 (- 105), -7.5 (+135)
- Total Games: Over 34.5 (-120), Under 4.5 (-105), Over 35.5 (-105), Under 35.5 (-120)
- Wins at least one set: Rublev Yes (-130), No (-115) / Djokovic No (+950)
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Betting on Andrey Rublev | +425 Odds to Win
Andrey Rublev had some tough first round matches, overcoming Dominic Thiem, Emil Ruusuvuori, and Dan Evans in three, four, and three sets, respectively. In the fourth round, he played against Holger Rune, the Dane who took him to a forced game that ended in five sets, 3 hours and 37 minutes and with a score of 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(9).
In this last match, Rublev’s best ally was his first serve, with which he hit 22 aces with only four double faults, shots that helped him have a 65% success rate on good first serves, an effectiveness of 73%, and an average speed of 191 km/h. Consequently, he managed to take control of the match and avoid 12 of the 17 break point opportunities he had against him.
In addition, he won 58 winners, converted 38% of the break chances in his favor, and won 64% of the points at the net. Likewise, he used shots that slowed the ball down to dislodge his opponent and win the point.
Betting on Novak Djokovic | -600 Odds to Win
On the other hand, we have the relentless Novak Djokovic, who just met the No. 22 seed of the 2023 Australian Open and favorite, the Australian, Alex de Minaur. This was expected to be a more demanding match for the Serb; however, he managed to overcome the test losing only 5 games, so the match ended 6-2, 6-1, 6-2.
In this match, Djokovic struggled with his first serve, having 65% of first serves in. However, of those that went in, he won 75% of the points in his favor; and with his second serve, he was 67% effective. Despite the previous facts we discussed, he had an average speed of 190 km/h with his first serve.
In terms of points won, he had 50% of break points that he converted in his favor, 67% of points won at the net, and a total of 26 winners that were mostly composed of shots to the back of the court and volleys. It is well known that the Serb’s best weapon is his speed and elasticity, which allow him to get his opponent tired by getting to every ball and making him run.
Rublev vs Djokovic Prediction
This will be a much more demanding match than the one the Serb had against de Minaur. No doubt, Rublev will enter with the willingness to win the first set; however, this will not ensure his victory.
The Serb is quite strong and will be the one who will win in this Rublev vs Djokovic quarter-finals match of the 2023 Australian Open.
Prediction: Novak Djokovic wins in 4 sets.
