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Canelo Álvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin III: Predictions, Picks & Odds

Saul "Canelo" Alvarez, left, poses with Gennadiy Gennadyevich Golovkin, known as "GGG," second from right, and promoter Eddie Hearn, middle, in Los Angeles on Friday, June 24, 2022. Alvarez and Golovkin are scheduled to fight in a super middleweight title boxing bout Sept. 17 in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Greg Beacham)

Canelo Álvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin III: Boxing fans around the world now have a date for what they have been longing for–the third bout between Mexican super middleweight champion Canelo Álvarez and Kazakhstan’s unified middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin.

Both fighters will surely experience a déjà vu as they will face each other again at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, the place where Canelo drew against the Kazakh in September 2017 and then won in September 2018, and will be hoping to maintain his undefeated record against his opponent in this trilogy, especially considering that his super middleweight title is on the line.

With the last fight between the two being called the “best fight of 2018,” expectations are high for this showdown. So here at JefeBet we bring you a rundown of everything you need to know for the next edition of Canelo vs Golovkin.

Picks and Predictions for Canelo Álvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin in Super Middleweight Title Fight

canelo alvarez vs gennady golovkin

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

When: Saturday, September 17, 2022, Time to be confirmed

Odds: Canelo Álvarez (-435) vs. Gennady Golovkin (+320)

Canelo Álvarez

  • Quota: -435
  • Total fights: 61
  • Wins: 57 (39 by KO)
  • Defeats: 2
  • Ties: 2

This will be an extremely important fight for Canelo Álvarez, as it represents the Mexican’s first bout since he was defeated by Dmitry Bivol by unanimous decision on May 7, 2022.

That represented the second loss in Canelo’s career –the previous one occurring in 2013 to Floyd Mayweather Jr.–, and he will be hoping this to be his chance to bounce back, especially knowing his positive record against the Kazakh and that his title is on the line.

The loss to Bivol was at light heavyweight, and the last time he fought another middleweight fighter he ended up taking the win by technical knockout, when he fought against Caleb Plant on November 6, 2021 also here in Las Vegas.

Gennady Golovkin

  • Quota: +320
  • Total fights: 44
  • Wins: 42 (37 by KO)
  • Defeats: 1
  • Ties: 1

The defeat in the second edition of this clash did not seem to affect Gennady Golovkin’s momentum. Since then, he has proven his worth and has emerged victorious in all the fights he has fought, and two of the four wins in that period being by knockout.

His last fight was on April 9 of this year against Ryota Murata, and it was fought in Japan, and it helped him win the WBA middleweight title. With this in mind, the Kazakh has had enough preparation time to get even for the thorn in his side against the Mexican, who is the only boxer to have beaten him in his entire career in the ring.

Golovkin will be hoping that the third time is the charm and that he can take the title from the Mexican to consolidate his position as one of the best middleweight boxers today.

JefeBet Prediction

Mainly, we expect the bout to live up to expectations, and we’re going to take the risk of going with the underdog in this clash.

Golovkin has had plenty of time to prepare properly and will surely use his previous experience against Canelo as a learning experience for this third fight, plus the Mexican may be lacking confidence after his last loss.


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