Henry Roldán
In this occassion, JefeBet brings you the Las Vegas Raiders odds, who last Sunday won 23-32 over the Denver Broncos, a victory that brought a breath of fresh air for the Las Vegas Raiders’ season, as they must travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs in Week 5 of American football action.
After three consecutive losses since the beginning of 2022, the Raiders were able to have a good matchup against the Broncos prior to facing the leader of their division, the AFC West, which has performed exceptionally well during the first four weeks of action.
The main problem for Las Vegas in 2022 has been its inconsistency: in the moments it manages to stop its opponents, the offensive line does not respond, something they must change against a Kansas City team that does not give second chances and has one of the most powerful attacks in the circuit.
For the first time this season, the Raiders’ defense conceded less than 300 yards in a game against the Broncos, although Denver’s offense is nothing compared to that of the Chiefs, who are coming off a 41-point outing against the Buccaneers’ prestigious defense.
On the offensive line, Derek Carr has been an issue. The quarterback did not throw a touchdown pass against Denver and has six TDs on the season, with four interceptions and only 61% of his passes completed. That poses a difficulty when having to play against a Kansas City defense that has allowed fewer than 24 points in three of its four games.
Las Vegas Raiders Odds, Predictions, and Betting Preview in Week 5 of the 2022 NFL Season
Moneyline (+260 from BetMGM)
The Raiders’ roster was assembled this year to fight against the best in the division, so it’s not crazy to think that on Monday Night Football they can have a good game like the Colts did against the Chiefs, being their only loss so far.
To do so, they must repeat a defensive performance like the one they had against Denver, especially containing the ground game. The Raiders only conceded 85 yards to the Broncos, but Kansas City is coming off a 189-yard performance against the Buccaneers. If they can stop this area of their opponents’ offense, Patrick Mahomes will have fewer tools to score points.
They also need Derek Carr to finally make a difference. Davante Adams has done his part within the receiving corps and Josh Jacobs is coming off a great ground game, but if Carr can’t establish himself somehow, they can’t win.
Spread (+7 from BetMGM)
That same inconsistency of the Raiders is the reason why the team’s three losses to the moment have been by narrow margins. Their offensive and defensive prowess is the main reason why they lost by five points or fewer.
However, Las Vegas does not have a good record playing against the spread: this season it has a 1-3 mark, while in the series against the Chiefs it is 1-5 in the last six clashes in Kansas City. In addition, the home team plays for 8-3 against the points and the favorite for a 5-2 record in the last seven clashes.
Over/Under (51 from BetMGM)
The Raiders’ defensive inconsistency and the Chiefs’ explosive offense, which has scored more than 40 points in two games this season, make us wish for a high-scoring game on Monday.
The Raiders are also capable of scoring as they have scored at least 20 goals in each of their first four games, and in the last four games between the two teams, betting for the Over was the good call in each of them.
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Las Vegas Raiders Future Odds After Week 4
Over/Under wins in the season: Over 7.5 (+105 by BetMGM) / Under 7.5 (-125 by BetMGM)
The Raiders’ slow start to the season has complicated their postseason expectations, especially since many don’t believe they are capable of winning more than eight games in the remainder of the schedule.
However, they could surprisingly overcome the quota of seven after their victory against Denver. Their games against the Jaguars, Broncos, Seahawks, and Steelers are possible to be won, waiting for the results of this Monday’s duel against the Chiefs, as well as the Saints and Rams, much more complicated teams.
In addition, at home they will play against accessible opponents such as the Texans, Colts, Patriots, and 49ers. In order to meet the Las Vegas line, at least three of those should end in a win, while the away games are more likely to add four wins because of the opponents they face.
Raiders win AFC West (+1400 from BetMGM)
Although their odds to win the division went from (+2500) to (+1400) after the win against the Broncos, the possibility of keeping the hopes high goes is tied to a win against the Chiefs.
If they lose to Kansas City, the difference between the two would be three games, a considerable figure considering both the performance shown by these teams so far and the fact that the Chargers are also in the race for first place.
Raiders win AFC Conference (+2500 from BetMGM) +5000
If the Raiders have a hard time winning their division, they have an even harder time winning the AFC if we take into account that to do so they would have to beat the Chargers and the Chiefs, or even a much more difficult team to beat such as the Bills. They must improve a lot and get on track to at least fight for a wild card spot.
Raiders win Super Bowl (+5000 from BetMGM)
Las Vegas doesn’t have a bad roster. The organization strengthened well in the preseason, but the team seems to be adapting to the new strategy brought in by head coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders are going to improve, but they need to do it fast before the postseason train passes them by, which is a good reason to think they are a long way from winning the Super Bowl.
Derek Carr wins the MVP (+4000 from BetMGM)
Derek Carr’s candidacy for a possible MVP looks quite distant due to his inconsistency in important moments for the team and his poor passing accuracy.
While he has recorded 1038 yards in four games, he has almost as many interceptions (4) as touchdowns thrown (6), and last week against the Broncos he registered no touchdown passes. In addition, his pass completion percentage is just 61% and his QB rating is 83.2, which is the second lowest of his career until now.
Odds courtesy of BetMGM.
