Barry Recks
Five years since their unforgettable faceoff that earned multiple Fight of the Year honors, Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje will meet again this coming Saturday in the headline bout of UFC 291 in Salt Lake City.
Read on for more about this Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje bout, including our predictions, picks, and the latest odds to win the fight, as brought to you by JefeBet. Also, don’t forget to check out the other MMA content here to help you make the best betting decisions.
Betting Preview for UFC 291 Featuring Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje on Saturday, July 29, 2023
- Where: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
- When: Saturday, July 29, 2023, 10:00 PM E.T.
- Odds: Dustin Poirier (-155) vs Justin Gaethje (+105)
All odds are provided by DraftKings.
Betting on Dustin Poirier (-155 on DraftKings)
- Odds: -155
- Record: 29-7-0, 1NC
- Age: 34
- Height: 5′ 9″
- Weight: 156.00 LB
- Reach: 72 in
Poirier recovered from his loss to Charles Oliviera in a title fight back in 2021 by submitting Michael Chandler via a beautiful rear-naked choke in last November’s main card of UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira. The 34-year-old Poirier has now won four of his last five fights, which also includes wins against Conor McGregor (twice) and Dan Hooker.
With 15 wins via knockouts, it’s clear that Poirier can be pretty devastating with his limbs, which Gaethje definitely knows. After all, Poirier scored a TKO win in the fourth round and earned him Fight of the Night honors in that 2018 UFC Fight Night event. Apart from his knockouts, Poirier also has six wins via submissions and also 13 first-round finishes.
Betting on Justin Gaethje (+135 on DraftKings)
- Odds: +135
- Record: 25-4-0
- Age: 34
- Height: 5′ 11″
- Weight: 156.00 LB
- Reach: 70 in
Gaethje is looking to sustain his momentum. In his most recent bout, Gaethje scored a majority decision victory over Rafael Fiziev in last March’s UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3. That was his follow-up fight to a submission loss to Oliviera in May 2022’s UFC 274. Getting a fight against Poirier gives Gaethje a golden opportunity to level his score with “The Diamond,” which is already more than enough motivation for him to win this Saturday’s showdown.
A wrestler, Gaethje must be licking his chops over the prospect of scoring points off takedowns in the rematch against Poirier. In the first fight, Poirier dominated Gaethje in striking (174-115), with neither fighter making a successful takedown. He’s got an effective defense against takedowns, though, as Gaethje has a 75 percent success rate in that area.
El Jefe’s Prediction on Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje
This will be a close fight that will go to the scorecards. Poirier will leave a better impression on the judges with his striking and takedown defense.
Prediction:
Poirier wins via split decision.
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