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Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Betting Preview | UFC 291 on July 29 2023

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After nearly two years, Michael Chiesa is finally going to step inside the Octagon this coming Saturday and he’ll be facing the dangerous Kevin Holland, who is not even four months removed from his last fight.

Read on for more about this Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland bout, including our predictions, picks, and the latest odds to win the fight, as brought to you by JefeBet. Also, don’t forget to check out the other MMA content here to help you make the best betting decisions.

Betting Preview for UFC 291 Featuring Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland on Saturday, July 29, 2023

Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland UFC Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview on July 29 2023
  • Where: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
  • When: Saturday, July 29, 2023, 10:00 PM E.T.
  • Odds: Michael Chiesa (+125) vs Kevin Holland (-145)

All odds are provided by DraftKings.

Betting on Michael Chiesa (+125 on DraftKings)

Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland UFC Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview on July 29 2023
  • Odds: +125
  • Record: 18-6-0
  • Age: 35
  • Height: 6′ 1″
  • Weight: 170.50 LB
  • Reach: 75.5 in

Ranked 12th in the welterweight division, Chiesa knows he can’t afford to lose this fight if he is to keep being relatively relevant in the weight class. Chiesa has lost his last two fights, so the sense of urgency is definitely there for the southpaw. In his most recent bout, Chiesa suffered a unanimous decision loss at the hands of Sean Brady way back in 2021’s UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate.

The 25-year-old Chiesa loves to finish fights via submissions and has in fact a total of 11 submission victories. He’s got a 54 percent takedown accuracy in the UFC and is averaging 3.39 takedowns per 15 minutes. Chiesa also appears to have a strong chin, having not been knocked out so far in his professional career in MMA.

Betting on Kevin Holland (-145 on DraftKings)

Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland UFC Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview on July 29 2023
  • Odds: -145
  • Record: 24-9-0, 1NC
  • Age: 30
  • Height: 6′ 3″
  • Weight: 170.50 LB
  • Reach: 81 in

Holland can be a tough customer for Chiesa. Although Chiesa has yet to experience a knockout loss, Holland does appear to have what it takes to finally be the first one to give it to him. Holland has 14 knockout wins. That’s 58 percent of his wins already. In his last fight, he scored a knockout win over Santiago Ponzinibbio last April in UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2.

Holland is landing an average of 4.12 significant strikes per minute, which is way more than Chiesa’s 1.88. His reach should pose problems for Chiesa, as Holland, who has a total of 11 first-round finishes, will have a 5.5-reach over against his next opponent. Although he’s known more for his knockouts, Holland can get the job done on the mat as well, with seven submission victories under his belt.

El Jefe’s Prediction on Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland 

Chiesa will find a way to negate Holland’s length by having success on the ground where he gets points for some clean shots in close quarters to go with his takedowns. 

Prediction: 

 Chiesa wins via decision.

Bet on Chiesa here

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Written by Barry Recks

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