Henry Roldán
For the first time in history, the two most popular and successful teams in the Colombian League, Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios, will face each other in a final. The first leg of this exciting match will take place this Wednesday, June 21st.
Atlético Nacional finished the campaign in third place, while in the quadrangular the team topped Group A thanks to a win on the last matchday. Meanwhile, the Millonarios team finished in second place and led Group B after also winning on the final matchday of the quadrangular.
It is worth mentioning that both teams faced each other in matchday 8, which ended in a 0-0 draw. Without further ado, JefeBet brings you the best preview of the star-studded match between Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios, as well as an excellent welcome bonus from Codere, so you can bet big.
Betting Preview for the Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Colombian Primera A Final First Leg Game on June 21, 2023
- Where: Atanasio Girardot Stadium – Medellín, Colombia.
- When: Wednesday, June 21, 2023, 9:00 PM E.T.
- Moneyline: Atlético Nacional (+115) | Tie (+230) | Millonarios (+250)
- Over/Under (2.5): Over (+115) | Under (-134)
- Both Teams Score: Yes (-134) | No (-106)
All odds provided are courtesy of Codere.
Betting on Atlético Nacional (+115 at Codere)
Atlético Nacional has the opportunity to extend its lead in the category of most titles won in Colombian soccer when it begins the final series against a fan base that has already won the tournament 17 times.
The Verdolaga team is coming from a great championship, losing only three of 20 matches in the first phase of the Apertura. In the final quadrangular, the team finished undefeated, beating Alianza Petrolera and Águilas Doradas, the team that had finished first in the standings.
As was customary throughout the campaign, Paulo Autuori’s team showed a great defensive performance in the final quadrangular, conceding only four goals in six matches, including three clean sheets. Previously, in the first round of the National tournament, the team conceded only 14 goals to its rivals, the lowest number for any team in the league.
Nacional played with a strong defense at home, allowing only six goals in 10 matches. However, the team’s offensive struggles prevented it from fully capitalizing on its solid defensive performance. The Verdolagas only managed to score 13 goals in its home matches, recording 4 draws in 10 matches played.
If you are betting on this match with Codere, you can take advantage of Nacional’s strong defense and bet on the exact number of goals scored by the visiting team. In this case, you should go for the (0-1) option, which can be part of a combination bet and which has a line of (-304). If you bet solely on this option, you can win $33 for every $100 wagered.
Probable lineup (4-3-3): Harlen Castillo; Cristian Devenish, Juan Aguirre, Cristian Zapata, Danovis Banguero; Nelson Palacio, Sebastián Gómez, Nelson Deossa; Dorlan Pabón, Jefferson Duque, Tomás Gutiérrez.
Final First Leg
Betting on Millonarios (+250 at Codere)
After being the team with the most titles in the history of Colombian soccer, Millonarios was surpassed in the last decade by Atlético Nacional. Still, this is a rival the Millonarios team could catch up to if it manages to win its 16th title, the first since the Clausura 2017.
Achieving this will not be easy, but the Millonarios team has had a great campaign, finishing second in the standings, just one point behind the leader Águilas Doradas. In the final quadrangular, the team was crowned leader of Group B with some ease.
Like its opponent, Alberto Gamero’s team based its success on its defensive prowess. The team only conceded 18 goals this season, which was the fourth-lowest amount in the league. In only three of the 20 matches played did the team’s opponents score two or more goals.
Playing away, Millonarios maintained its efficient performance, as it only allowed nine goals, which was the second-lowest amount of goals conceded on the road. This number was, in fact, only surpassed by Atlético Nacional’s eight goals conceded. Additionally, Millonarios was the second club to earn the most points playing away and only lost three out of the 13 matches played in this condition, both in the first phase and in the final quadrangular.
Probable lineup (4-5-1): Álvaro Montero; Elvis Perlaza, Andrés Llinas, Juan Pablo Vargas, Jorge Arias; Daniel Giraldo, Larry Vásquez, Oscar Cortés, Daniel Cataño, Beckham Castro; Leonardo Castro.
El Jefe’s Prediction on Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios
The prediction is pretty straightforward. For this first match between Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios, two of the best defenses in the championship, the only option is to bet the Under 2.5 goals.
No team conceded fewer goals in the league than Atlético Nacional, and only Boyacá Chicó, with five, allowed fewer goals from opponents playing at home. Meanwhile, Millonario was the second team that allowed the least number of goals away, recording only nine goals against in 10 matches.
In addition, Nacional the Under 2.5 was met in six of the team’s last ten home matches. Meanwhile, out of the last ten Millonarios’ away games, seven ended with less than 2.5 total goals.
Keeping this in mind, we should head over to Codere and look for the Under 2.5 goals odds, which have a very good line of (-134) that can earn you up to $75 for every $100 bet.
Prediction: Under (ATN 1 – MIL 1) | Bet here for the Under
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