Henry Roldán
Gremio vs America-MG will be a spectacular duel between two teams that are undergoing different circumstances as we head into the 11th matchday of the Brazilian first division league. The Immortal Tricolor has recently suffered a tough 3-0 loss against Flamengo at home, while the Conejos failed to secure a win in their last match, drawing 2-2 against Athletico Paranaense on their home.
Without further ado, JefeBet brings you the best preview of this exciting duel. Keep reading to have access to our experts predictions and the best betting odds of our affiliates. Plus, don’t forget to take advantage of the excellent welcome bonus that DraftKings is offering for you.
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Betting Preview for the Gremio vs Atletico MG Brasileirao Matchday 11 Game on June 22, 2023
- Where: Arena do Gremio – Porto Alegre, Brazil
- When: Thursday, June 22, 2023, 6:00 PM E.T.
- Moneyline: Gremio (-145) / Tie (+285) / América-MG (+380)
- Over/Under (2.5): Over (-120) / Under (-115)
- Both teams score: Yes (-125) / No (-110)
All odds are provided by DraftKings.
Betting on Gremio (-145 on DraftKings)
After spending just one season in Serie B, Gremio is back in the top tier of Brazilian football, and they are currently fighting to secure a spot in continental competitions for the upcoming season.
Despite their recent loss against Flamengo, the Immortal Tricolor have only suffered one defeat in their last five matches, and they currently sit in sixth place in the standings with 17 points, just one point behind Atlético Mineiro, who are in a direct access position to the Libertadores.
What’s strange about Gremio’s performance is that they are one of only two teams among the top 10 positions in the table with a negative goal difference. They have scored 14 goals but have conceded 15. However, their home form is much more solid. In five matches played at their stadium, they are unbeaten and have scored 9 of their 14 goals in front of their home fans.
That strong home performance should lead them to score a good number of goals against a visiting team that has struggled to defend away from home. That’s why it’s a great option to play at DraftKings and bet on the Over 1.5 goals of Gremio, with attractive odds of (-140), which could earn you up to $71 for every every $100 wagered.
Possible lineup (5-4-1): Gabriel Grando; Joao Pedro, Bruno Alves, Bruno Uvini, Walter Kannemann, Reinaldo; Mathías Villasanti, Pepe, Bitello, Franco Cristaldo; Luis Suárez.
Matchday 11
Betting on America MG (+380 on DraftKings)
The moment for America-MG couldn’t be more different from that of their upcoming opponent. They head into this match trying to climb out of the relegation zone and are close to being eliminated from the next stage of the Copa Sudamericana.
Although they have won one game and drawn another in their last two matches, the visitors had a disastrous start to the season, only picking up one point in their first six games. As a result, they currently sit in 18th place with a meager eight points.
To make matters worse, Vagner Mancini’s team has the worst defense in the league, conceding 22 goals in just 10 matches. In eight of those games, their opponents scored at least two goals.
It’s no surprise that America-MG shares the second-to-last spot in points picked up away from home. In four away matches, they’ve only managed to pick up one point and are one of five clubs that have conceded at least ten goals on the road, with ten goals allowed.
Probable lineup: (4-1-4-1): Mateus Pasinato; Marcinho, Wanderson, Iago Maidana, Danilo Avelar; Lucas Kai; Everaldo, Brezo Cascardo, Leandro Martinez, Felipe Azevedo; Aloisio.
El Jefe’s prediction on Gremio vs America MG
Gremio seems to have everything in their favor this Thursday to get back on track with a win and maintain their unbeaten record at home this season.
It’s precisely their solid performance in front of their home crowd that puts Gremio among the best teams in Brasileirao, with a chance to secure direct access to the Libertadores with a win against a seemingly beatable opponent.
America-MG struggles with their defense on the road, having only managed to secure one point when playing away from home. Furthermore, the rabbits have never managed to win at Gremio’s stadium, with only two draws and six losses in their eight previous encounters.
Keeping all this in mind, we recommend heading over to DraftKings and betting on Gremio’s Moneyline, with favorable odds of (-145), which could win you up to $69 for every $100 wagered.
Prediction: Gremio Moneyline (GRE 2 – AME 0) | Bet here for the Moneyline.
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