Henry Roldán
The action in the Copa Sudamericana continues this coming Tuesday with an interesting matchup in Group H as San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes de Merida face each other once again.
The Argentine team still has a slight chance to qualify second in the group, but after drawing 0-0 against Palestino its aspirations depend on winning by a big difference and on an adverse result from the Chileans. On the other hand, the Venezuelan team has already been eliminated.
It is worth remembering that in the first match between the two teams, San Lorenzo won 1-0 in Venezuela. Without further ado, at JefeBet we bring you the preview of the match between San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes de Merida, a clash that comes with a welcome bonus from Codere.
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Betting Preview for the San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes de Merida Copa Sudamericana Group Stage Game on June 27, 2023
- Where: Pedro Bidegain Stadium – Buenos Aires, Argentina.
- When: Tuesday, June 27, 2023, 6:00 PM E.T.
- Moneyline: San Lorenzo (-770) | Tie (+650) | Estudiantes de Merida (+2900)
- Over/Under (2.5): Over (-162) | Under (+125)
- Both teams score: Yes (+200) | No (-304)
All odds shown are courtesy of Codere.
Betting on San Lorenzo (-770 at Codere)
Despite San Lorenzo’s good season, its chances of qualifying for the next stage of the Sudamericana tournament seem very distant.
The San Lorenzo team, currently third in the Argentine League, is paying the price for its lack of offensive power and is currently third in the group with five points. This situation obliges the team to win by at least three goals against Estudiantes while hoping that Palestino loses at home against Fortaleza.
As we mentioned, Rubén Insúa’s team has failed to take advantage of the opportunities that have come its way. The team has not won at home in this edition of the tournament, and its two matches against Palestino, a direct rival in the group, ended in a scoreless draw.
That is why it looks very optimistic that San Lorenzo can score at least three times despite its opponent’s issues. In fact, in 21 local championship games, the team only managed to score three or more goals twice, confirming the good option of betting on the Under 2.5 goals for the home team at Codere. The line is set at (-118), which means you could win up to $85 for every $100 wagered..
Probable lineup (3-4-2-1): Augusto Batalla; Gastón Campi, Federico Gattoni, Gastón Hernández; Jalil Elías, Francisco Peruzzi, Gonzalo Luján, Malcolm Braida; Andrés Vombergar, Nahuel Barrios; Nicolás Blandi.
Group Stage
Betting on Estudiantes de Merida (+2900 at Codere)
Estudiantes de Mérida secured its first win of the group stage last week and now has the chance to deliver a heavy blow to San Lorenzo’s hopes of moving forward.
The Venezuelan team recently defeated Fortaleza, group leader and the highest-scoring team of the tournament, with a clean sheet. This was a surprising result considering that the team’s defense has conceded 13 goals, which is the third-highest amount in the league.
In fact, Franklin Lucena’s men have conceded seven of those goals away from home and have failed to earn any points due to a weak attack that has only scored three goals in five matches.
Probable lineup (4-2-3-1): Beycker Velásquez; Marcel Guaramato, Javier Márquez, Omar Labrador, Alexis Doldán; Aaron Rodríguez, Jorge Páez; Néstor Canelon, Ervin Zorrilla, Jesús Gómez; Junior Paredes.
El Jefe’s Prediction on San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes de Merida
Although San Lorenzo is playing at home against a much weaker opponent, the team has had offensive problems throughout the season, both in the Sudamericana and the Argentine League, which casts doubts on its chances of advancing to the next round.
In order for San Lorenzo to advance, the team must score a lot of goals against the Venezuelans and hope for a Palestino loss. However, the Argentine team has only scored three goals in five Sudamericana matches, and in the Argentine League, it is the second club with the fewest goals scored within the top 10 teams, with only 20 goals.
Certainly, Estudiantes has one of the worst defenses in the tournament, but the team has only lost 0-1 to the Argentines in Merida, and after winning against Fortaleza last week, the team could go to Buenos Aires and ruin the night for the home team.
That is why it is a good option to head over to Codere and play the Under of the match. San Lorenzo will win, but it will not be with many goals. The Under has a line of (+125) with which you can get up to $125 for every $100 wagered.
Prediction: Under (SAN 2 – EST 0) | Bet here for the Under
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