Rafael Guillén
The Eagles secured a crucial result in the first leg of the series and have forced their greatest rival to beat them by at least two goals at the Azteca. America vs Chivas is the second leg game of this semifinals between the top contenders to lift the trophy in the 248th edition of their historic rivalry.
Here at JefeBet, we are constantly working to bring you the best sports betting information and Liga MX predictions, so here we leave you our prediction for this exciting game between America vs Chivas in the Mexican National Derby.
Predictions, Picks, and Betting Odds for the America vs Chivas Liga MX Clausura 2023 Semifinals Second Leg Game on May 21, 2023
- Where: Azteca Stadium, Mexico City
- When: Sunday, May 21, 2023, 8:00 PM ET.
- Moneyline: America (-143) / Tie (+310) / Chivas (+400)
- Over/Under (2.5): Over (-122) / Under (-106)
- Both teams score: Yes (-134) / No (+106)
All odds are provided by Codere MX
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Betting on America
They couldn’t have had another game like the one they had against San Luis. In fact, during the first half, they struggled a lot and if it hadn’t been for Luis Malagón’s brilliant performance, things could have been worrying for America.
Tano Ortíz’s team focused on holding possession and gave the attacking responsability to their opponent. After Alejandro Zendejas scored the goal, coming in as a substitute, Chivas made sporadic and dangerous attempts. However, they relied more on individual actions from their players than on collective effort.
It is worth mentioning that America has not lost to Guadalajara at home in the domestic tournament since 2016. Moreover, in the last six head-to-head encounters at home, only in one did they fail to score, a hard fought goalless derby that dates back to 2021.
In this league, the Azteca has been complicated stadium for everyone. Playing as locals, they only suffered a defeat to Pachuca by a score of 0-3 and drew 0-0 against Querétaro. It is also worth noting that those were the only games in which they failed to score throughout the tournament. Including the playoffs, the home team has scored in their last four games in a row at the Azteca. Will the streak continue?
Possible Lineup (4-4-2): Luis Malagón; Miguel Layún, Israel Reyes, Sebastián Cáceres, Luis Fuentes; Leo Suárez, Richard Sánchez, Pedro Aquino, Jonathan Rodríguez; Diego Valdés, Henry Martín.
Betting on Chivas
The visiting team must score to goals against America to keep their goals of advacing to the final alive, however this has not happened since 2016. In the Playoffs, they won their last game at the Azteca in 2020 by a score of 2-1 , although that score was not enough to reach the final.
In the first 20 minutes of the first leg, Chivas had outstanding performancethat took advantage of the Eagles ‘ mistakes to generate many goal situations that could have ended in goals. Unfortunately for the team from Guadalajara, the America’s goalkeeper had a perfect night.
The second half was difficult for a Chivas team that looked tired and a bit desperate and they were unable to turn things around. The visiting team had a perfect match against Atlas but America took the ball away from them and Chivas ran out of ideas.
They register 26 consecutive matches with at least a goal at the Akron Stadium and it was precisely in this transcendental challenge that their streak came to an end. Playing away in the domestic league they only lost once, and it was precisely against against Atlas. Will the visiting team be able to pull off a comeback in this contested match.
Possible Lineup (4-1-4-1): Miguel Jiménez; Alan Mozo, Gilberto Sepúlveda, Antonio Briseño, Jesús Orozco; Alan Torres; Isaac Brizuela, Fernando Beltrán, Roberto Alvarado, Alexis Vega; Víctor Guzmán.
JefeBet Prediction
The match will be intense. Guadalajara will have to take risks because they head into this game behind in the scoreboard. This could provoke them to leave spaces at the back that El Cabecita Rodríguez or Diego Valdés can take advantage of.
As we previously said, at JefeBet we believe that both teams will be able to get on the scoresheet. Chivas will be aggressive and will score, although it will not be enough because the spaces left behind will be exploited by the Eagles.
Both teams will score and the line at Codere is at (-134), so if you bet $100 you can win $174. In addition, if you take the risk that America wins (-143) your profit would be even higher. Are you interested?
Prediction: America Over and Moneyline (America 2-1 Chivas)
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