Tomás Yelmini
A round week closes as the ball of fans for the New York Red BullsThey have made it to the Playoffs for the 13th consecutive season in the Eastern Conference, and what follows is nothing less than a showdown with the other team from “The Big Apple”.
On Saturday, September 17 at 01.00 PM E.T., New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls will face off at Yankee Stadium, in a duel that will bring soccer fans in the city to a standstill.
At JefeBet we tell you how the New York Red Bulls are coming into this game, and we give you the odds and predictions for the Hudson River derby in Week 32 of the MLS.
Predictions, Odds, and Betting preview for New York Red Bulls on MLS Regular Season Week 32 Running from September 17 to September 18, 2022
Odds offered by BetMGM
Moneyline (+200)
This weekend’s match is extremely even, at least if we look at the Eastern Conference standings, as the New York Red Bulls are 3rd in the standings with 50 points, while their opponents are 4th, just 4 points behind.
However, from July to this point NYCFC suffered a remarkable drop: from April to July they lost only once in 18 games; but since the departure of their star striker, Taty Castellanos (on July 25), the team was able to claim victory only once in 10 games. And out of the last five games, they were only able to pick up just one point.
This, added to the fact that the history favors the New York Red Bulls (13 to 7, with 3 ties), invites the possibility that the odds are wrong this time, and it is the New York Red Bulls who, in the end, will win this weekend.
Spread (+0.5): -167
The New York Red Bulls are coming off a 2-1 victory over the New England Revolution, with goals from Cristian Cásseres Jr. and Lewis Morgan. The latter had a great performance, being the most dangerous attacker throughout the match.
For the weekend match, NY Red Bulls DT Gerhard Struber is expected to stop the same players that won last week: Coronel, Andres Resyes, Sean Nealis, and Aaron Long; Kyle Duncan, Daniel Edelman, Cristian Cásseres Jr. ,John Tolkin, Luquinhas, Elias Manoel, Lewis Morgan.
Over/Under (2.5): Over: -125/Under: -114
Five of NYRB’s last 10 MLS games have ended with more than 2.5 goals if you add up what both teams have scored. It is impossible to predict what might happen based on its recent form, then.
In terms of meetings with New York City, however, there is a trend, as in their last five matches played, only one had more than 2.5 celebrations. It was a 3-0 win for the team of the big square last June in the US Open Cup. For MLS, nothing in the last two years.
By this we mean that when one wins, it is by a small margin. In the Hudson River derbies, there are not usually many goals.
Future odds New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls win MLS Cup (+1600)
Knowing that they are in the Playoffs is a boost for the New York Red Bulls, not only for what may happen in the short term, that is, in the face of a game as significant as this weekend’s: it also helps them to look to the future and work to fulfill their great objective of winning the MLS Cup once and for all, which is so elusive to them.
The fact that their neighbors have achieved this just a few seasons after their debut surely was not a comfortable situation for the Red Bulls, who are one of the founders of MLS. That is why the self-imposed pressure is great, perhaps more so than on other occasions.
However, so far this season the team has looked solid, scoring fewer than expected, 47 goals in 31 games, but also conceding very few goals: with 37 conceded they have the third-fewest goals conceded in the Eastern Conference, behind Philadelphia Union with 22 and Columbus Crew with 35.
That strength is key for the decisive duels, those in which there is no net, and that is why the confidence of the odds is great to see him among the candidates to lift the MLS Cup this November 5.
