Camila Vega
The last men’s singles quarterfinals of the 2023 Australian Open were defined in the early morning hours of January 23 and will see an all-American showdown in Shelton vs Paul, who have left behind great players such as Alexander Davidovich Fokina, Roberto Bautista-Agut, and Alexei Popyrin.
At JefeBet, we will analyze this match to identify the strengths and weaknesses of each player and the Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul predictions for the quarter-finals of the 2023 Australian Open. Keep reading to find out more.
We also invite you to read our review of DraftKings, the odds’ provider for this preview.
Betting Preview for the Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul Men’s Singles Quarter-Finals Match at the 2023 ATP Australian Open
- Where: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
- When: Tuesday, January 24, 2023, [time not defined]
- Games Spread: Shelton +3.5 (+105), +4.5 (-125) / Paul -3.5 (-135), -4.5 (+100)
- Total Games: Over 38.5 (-135), Under 38.5 (+105), Over 39.5 (-115), Under 39.5 (-110), Over 40.5 (+100), Under 40.5 (-130)
- Wins at least one set: Shelton Yes (-275), No (+180) / Paul Yes (-2000), No (+600)
[the_ad_placement id=”sports-tenis”]
Betting on Ben Shelton | +205 Odds to Win
First, Ben Shelton outplayed Zizhen Zhang, Nicolas Jarry, and Alexei Popyrin in his previous matches. In the fourth round, he faced his compatriot, J.J. Wolf, in a titanic match that resulted in 6-7(5), 6-2, 6-7(4), 7-6(4), 6-2 after 3 hours and 47 minutes. It is important to remember that his first round match against Zhang was also defined in five sets.
The fourth round match vs Wolf demanded a lot from him, so he had to use his best weapons, the most important of all being his serve. He launched 23 incredible aces to reach 68% of good first serves, with a staggering 82% effectiveness. Even with his second serve, he was 69% effective.
As if that wasn’t enough, he shot 64 winners and won 79% of points at the net. The winners were mostly divided between ground stroke shots, passing shots, and lobs.
Betting on Tommy Paul | -260 Odds to Win
Now, Tommy Paul has taken out Jan-Lennard Struff, Alexander Davidovich Fokina, Jenson Brooksby, and Roberto Bautista Agut in matches of 3, 5, 3, and 4 sets, respectively. To analyze his game we will look at his performance against Spain’s Bautista Agut in his fourth round match, which ended 6-2, 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 after 3 hours and 19 minutes.
In the match, Paul excelled with his serve, firing 11 aces and being 71% effective on 60% of the serves that went in. His fastest service was 220 km/h; the first one reached an average speed of 185 km/h, and the second one 152 km/h. Undoubtedly, this helped him face a tremendously strong and focused opponent.
In addition, his drive and backhand shots helped him launch 58 winners and convert 40% of the break opportunities in his favor. In particular, he used ground stroke shots, volley shots, approaches to the net, passing shots, and overhead shots.
Shelton vs Paul Prediction
Although Ben Shelton’s serve has been better in terms of numbers than Tommy Paul’s in previous matches, the former has had more court time and is thus more tired than his opponent.
However, this will be a very close match, in which Paul may win by just a decisive break point in these quarter-finals of the 2023 Australian Open.
Prediction: Tommy Paul wins in 4 sets.
