Henry Roldán
Just like a couple of weeks ago, this Sunday the Raiders face a new final in the middle of the NFL regular round when they host the Indianapolis Colts.
The Las Vegas team has just squandered a 17-point lead for the third time this season, losing to the Jaguars and putting its aspirations in jeopardy with its sixth loss of the season.
Let’s add to that the fact that they will be without receiver Hunter Renfrow and tight end Darren Waller, two of Derek Carr’s most important allies regarding passes, for a few weeks.
This will make the ground game,fourth in average yards per ground with 5.1,paramount for a team has been improving little by little in this aspect. Moreover, they are one of the teams that has lost the fewest balls this year (7).
However, such an improvement in offense will do little good if the defense continues to be outplayed by opponents. Overall, they have the sixth-highest yards per play in the league with 5.8, are last in fumbles recovered with just five, and through the air they allow an average of 7.0 net yards per pass, which is the fourth-highest figure in the league.
Predictions, Odds, and Betting Preview for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season
Moneyline (-208 from BetMGM)
The Raiders’ hopes not only rest on their defense having a good day at home, but also on what an Indianapolis team with a new head coach can do.
Jeff Saturday, who takes over the role with no prior experience, will be the man in charge of the Colts against a Raiders team looking for its third win (they won their previous two games at home.)
Spread (-4.5 from BetMGM)
Considering the season’s performance, we might expect the game to be very close, but if we look at the teams individually, the Raiders should have the advantage.
Moreover, there is little we can know about how Saturday will handle the offense of a team that is among the worst in the circuit in offensive average, but we do know that both teams have negative records playing against the spread this year.
Over/Under (41 from BetMGM)
Since we don’t know how Saturday will start against an Indianapolis offense that has the potential to be much better than what it has shown thus far, the point line for this game could be misleading.
For their part, the Raiders’ offense is struggling with the loss of Renfroe and Waller, while their defense is a question mark, as is their opponents’ offense.
What is a fact is that the under has occurred in eight of the Colts’ nine games this season, but the Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams and 4-0 in the last four meetings in Las Vegas.
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Las Vegas Raiders Future Odds after Week 10
Over/Under wins in the season: Over 6.5 (-125 from BetMGM) / Under 6.5 (+105 from BetMGM)
While most sportsbooks in Las Vegas don’t believe that the Raiders will win more than six games this season, there are some more risky bettors who believe they can even reach eight wins.
Their road games against the Jaguars, Broncos and Steelers are winnable, while their remaining matchups against the Seahawks and Rams look to be the most complex.
In terms of home games, this Sunday’s game against the Colts and the Week 15 game against the Patriots are among the most manageable ones. The remaining home games are against the Chargers, 49ers and Chiefs, so in order to meet the Vegas line, at least two home games should end in a win.
Raiders win AFC West (+4000 from BetMGM)
With the last two losses, the Raiders’ hopes of winning their division are practically nil, since they are four games behind the Chiefs; they lost the first game against them and have two other rivals ahead. This is more than enough reason to go from (+3500) to (+4000).
Raiders win AFC Conference (+8000 from BetMGM)
If it is complicated for the Raiders to win their division, they will have an even harder time winning the AFC when you consider that they would have to beat the Chargers and Chiefs, or even a much more difficult obstacle like the Bills. They must improve a lot and get on track to at least fight for a wild card spot.
Raiders win Super Bowl (+9900 from BetMGM)
If the possibility of the Raiders making the playoffs is a miracle, the Raiders winning their first Super Bowl since 1983 is unfathomable. Considering injuries and team inconsistency, the likelihood of this happening is almost (+10000) in Las Vegas. There are many teams above them and while they have what it takes to at least fight one more week, reaching the final is too much to ask of them.
Derek Carr wins the MVP(+9900 from BetMGM).
With the Raiders out of the playoff picture and a foot and a half out of the postseason, the odds of Derek Carr fighting for the circuit MVP award are very remote, if not impossible.
His performance this year has been very poor, accumulating only 1,880 yards after eight games. Moreover, his pass completion percentage is only 62.3%, one of the lowest of his career. If we couple that with his 88.5 QBR, his lowest since 2017, we can see this hasn’t been what was expected from the quarterback this year.
Odds courtesy of BetMGM. We invite you to read our reviews!
